Polymarket 宏观 / 加密相关赔率 · 更新 2026-09-14 08:00:52
| 问题 | 分类 | 成交量 | 到期 | 赔率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | politics | $5,476.89万 | 2028-11-07 | No 100% / Yes 0.1% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $5,262.90万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.6% / No 99.4% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $5,042.59万 | 2028-11-07 | No 99.4% / Yes 0.6% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,863.86万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.2% / No 99.9% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | politics | $4,470.83万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.2% / No 99.9% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,436.32万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.5% / No 99.5% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,395.94万 | 2028-11-07 | No 99.9% / Yes 0.2% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,390.52万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.2% / No 99.9% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | politics | $4,368.66万 | 2028-11-07 | No 99.9% / Yes 0.2% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,345.18万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,335.07万 | 2028-11-07 | No 99.9% / Yes 0.2% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,279.15万 | 2028-11-07 | No 99.9% / Yes 0.2% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | politics | $4,271.93万 | 2028-11-07 | Yes 0.2% / No 99.9% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | fed-rates | $4,089.70万 | 2026-09-16 | Yes 0.4% / No 99.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | fed-rates | $3,883.36万 | 2026-09-16 | Yes 20.5% / No 79.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | fed-rates | $3,005.32万 | 2026-09-16 | Yes 78.5% / No 21.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | fed-rates | $2,007.51万 | 2026-09-16 | Yes 0.7% / No 99.4% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | fed-rates | $1,659.98万 | 2026-09-16 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | fed-rates | $920.28万 | 2026-12-09 | Yes 86.5% / No 13.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $810.88万 | 2026-12-31 | No 6.9% / Yes 93.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $681.91万 | 2027-01-01 | No 91% / Yes 9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $567.74万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 22.5% / No 77.5% |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $521.42万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 0.2% / No 99.9% |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $423.48万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 0.2% / No 99.9% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $421.88万 | 2026-12-31 | No 100% / Yes 0.1% |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $391.34万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 0.2% / No 99.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $354.55万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 13.5% / No 86.5% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $351.96万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 0.1% / No 100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $322.81万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 27.5% / No 72.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $318.22万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 4.5% / No 95.5% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | fed-rates | $299.76万 | 2026-12-31 | No 97.9% / Yes 2.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $269.18万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 0.3% / No 99.8% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $247.38万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 11.2% / No 88.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $202.82万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 6.5% / No 93.5% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $195.24万 | 2027-01-01 | No 94.5% / Yes 5.5% |
| US recession by end of 2026? | macro | $174.81万 | 2027-01-31 | No 90.5% / Yes 9.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $174.49万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 9.5% / No 90.5% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $165.85万 | 2027-01-01 | No 96.8% / Yes 3.3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $163.14万 | 2027-01-01 | Yes 50.5% / No 49.5% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | crypto | $160.96万 | 2027-01-01 | No 95.5% / Yes 4.5% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | macro | $32.36万 | 2026-12-31 | No 92% / Yes 8% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | macro | $19.81万 | 2026-12-31 | Yes 12.5% / No 87.5% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | macro | $6.80万 | 2026-12-31 | No 94.2% / Yes 5.9% |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | macro | $5.89万 | 2026-12-31 | No 97.3% / Yes 2.8% |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | macro | $4.21万 | 2026-12-31 | No 96.5% / Yes 3.5% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? | macro | $4.15万 | 2026-10-30 | No 42.5% / Yes 57.5% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | macro | $3.75万 | 2027-01-20 | Yes 27.4% / No 72.7% |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026? | macro | $3.33万 | 2027-01-29 | No 97.5% / Yes 2.6% |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%? | macro | $3.03万 | 2027-01-12 | Yes 5.6% / No 94.4% |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? | macro | $3.01万 | 2027-02-12 | Yes 88.8% / No 11.3% |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? | macro | $2.91万 | 2027-01-08 | Yes 20.3% / No 79.8% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%? | macro | $2.61万 | 2027-01-19 | No 99.4% / Yes 0.7% |
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